BTC Scenario Flow Report

Análise completa de sinais em data/signals.json com cenários anterior → atual → próximo, probabilidades de prejuízo e fluxo histórico.

Fonte: data/signals.json Sinais testados: 10 Horizontes: 4, 12, 24, 48, 60, 72h Gerado em: 2026-05-19T13:37:28.518Z
Prob. média de prejuízo
40.00%
Risco alto (>=60%)
2
Risco médio (35-59%)
3
Risco baixo (<35%)
5

Probabilidade de prejuízo por sinal

Melhores sequências para lucro

Piores sequências (prejuízo)

Grafo do fluxo de cenários

Fluxo agregado das transições de cenário e contexto de resultado.

flowchart LR
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> DEEP_SQUEEZE
  DEEP_SQUEEZE --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  DEEP_SQUEEZE --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> DEEP_SQUEEZE
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> UPTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL
  UPTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  BULLISH_PULLBACK --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> BULLISH_PULLBACK
  BULLISH_PULLBACK --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> UPTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> DOWNTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL
  DOWNTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  BEARISH_PULLBACK --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> BEARISH_PULLBACK
  BULLISH_PULLBACK --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> DOWNTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> DOWNTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL
  DOWNTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL --> UPTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> BULLISH_PULLBACK
  BULLISH_PULLBACK --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  UPTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> DEEP_SQUEEZE
  DEEP_SQUEEZE --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> UPTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> UPTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL
  UPTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL --> DOWNTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL
  DOWNTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> DEEP_SQUEEZE
  UPTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> UPTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> DOWNTREND_AFTER_LOW_VOL
  DOWNTREND_AFTER_LOW_VOL --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  DOWNTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> BEARISH_PULLBACK
  SIDEWAYS_AFTER_UPTREND --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> DOWNTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL
  DEEP_SQUEEZE --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> DOWNTREND_AFTER_LOW_VOL
  DEEP_SQUEEZE --> NOISE_TRANSITION
  NOISE_TRANSITION --> UPTREND_AFTER_LOW_VOL

  %% labels with avg24 and win24 are listed below:
  %% NOISE_TRANSITION -> DEEP_SQUEEZE -> NOISE_TRANSITION | samples=505 avg24=0.3463% win24=71.49%
  %% DEEP_SQUEEZE -> NOISE_TRANSITION -> DEEP_SQUEEZE | samples=253 avg24=0.8409% win24=68.38%
  %% NOISE_TRANSITION -> UPTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL -> NOISE_TRANSITION | samples=251 avg24=0.4301% win24=55.38%
  %% BULLISH_PULLBACK -> NOISE_TRANSITION -> BULLISH_PULLBACK | samples=175 avg24=-0.9919% win24=25.71%
  %% BULLISH_PULLBACK -> NOISE_TRANSITION -> UPTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL | samples=168 avg24=0.6151% win24=57.74%
  %% NOISE_TRANSITION -> DOWNTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL -> NOISE_TRANSITION | samples=161 avg24=1.0972% win24=76.4%
  %% BEARISH_PULLBACK -> NOISE_TRANSITION -> BEARISH_PULLBACK | samples=132 avg24=0.9804% win24=75%
  %% BULLISH_PULLBACK -> NOISE_TRANSITION -> DOWNTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL | samples=125 avg24=0.9097% win24=70.4%
  %% NOISE_TRANSITION -> DOWNTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL -> UPTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL | samples=109 avg24=0.5767% win24=51.38%
  %% NOISE_TRANSITION -> BULLISH_PULLBACK -> NOISE_TRANSITION | samples=108 avg24=-0.1705% win24=50.93%
  %% UPTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL -> NOISE_TRANSITION -> DEEP_SQUEEZE | samples=106 avg24=-0.4535% win24=10.38%
  %% DEEP_SQUEEZE -> NOISE_TRANSITION -> UPTREND_AFTER_HIGH_VOL | samples=101 avg24=-0.3947% win24=39.6%